July 6, 2022 Sports Betting
With goal advantage over Universidad Catolica, Sao Paulo is in position to advance into the Copa Sudamericana’s last eight for the first time in eight years as they head to Cierco Pompeu de Toledo Stadium.
The Chileans failed to take advantage of their prolonged possession in the first leg last week, surrendering four goals in just over an hour of play.
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Tips and Prediction
Sao Paulo last won this South American trophy ten years ago, and based on their performance through seven games, they appear to be the heavy favorites to do it again in 2022.
When they won the Copa Sudamericana ten years ago, the renowned goalkeeper Rogerio Ceni was a key factor. He allowed only two goals in eight games as they advanced to the final.
As the team’s new manager, Ceni has transformed the current Sao Paulo roster into a formidable attacking squad that has scored the fourth-most goals (20) domestically this year while tallying multiple goals in five of their seven games at this year’s competition.
Tricolor Paulista have never been behind at the break in the competition and have only ever trailed for three minutes.
Sao Paulo has never lost in 11 prior matches against Chilean teams in this league, and in that time, they have only given up one goal at home, to La Catolica back in 2013.
The record 16-time champions of Chile have a hard hill to climb into the second leg behind by two goals.
Since 2005, when they trailed Fluminense 2-1 after their first match of the season before defeating them 2-0 in the second match to get to the semifinals, UC has not gone on to win a knockout round when facing a deficit going into the decisive leg.
Ariel Holan can cite his team’s domestic campaign as proof that things could get better for them. They overcame Coquimbo in February by scoring three goals in a row.
If Catolica can open the scoring on Thursday, they will have won their last six games in which they scored the opening goal, and they will have scored multiple goals in four straight games overall.
Universidad will need to continue playing aggressively in order to advance on Thursday. When they play this way, they frequently control the majority of the ball and prevail in a good number of middle-field duels.
Universidad has little choice but to take risks in an effort to close the tie given the disadvantage they are currently facing.
That ought to provide Sao Paulo the chance to repeat their opening-game strategy of catching the Chileans on the break, which they nearly perfected on Thursday.